Best Odds & Predictions For RWC Final 2023 - New Zealand vs. South Africa

October 23, 2023 by David Nugent

Rugby World Cup Final 2023: New Zealand vs. South Africa The 2023 Rugby World Cup in France has come to the final stages with the Rugby World Cup final set to take place on Oct 28 at the Stade France in Saint-Denis.

Two of the best teams at the 2023 Rugby World Cup will headline the finals as defending champions South Africa (Springboks) take on New Zealand (All Blacks).

New Zealand made it to the finals after dominating Argentina in the semi-finals which they won 44-6. South Africa faced England who they beat in the 2019 World Cup final and once again the Springboks managed to get the better of England as they won a nail biter 16-15.

The Stade France in Saint-Denis which seats just over 80,000 is expected to be packed to capacity as two of the best Rugby nations in the world compete to see who will lift the William Webb Ellis Cup. The Springboks and the All Blacks have one of the greatest rivalries in rugby and fans will be at the edge of their seats to see some of the best players in world put it all on the line to see who will lift the 2023 Rugby World Cup championship.

Argentina and England will play each other on Oct 27 at the Stade France in Saint-Denis to see who will take third place at the 2023 Rugby World Cup.

Overall, the 2023 Rugby World Cup has turned out to be a big success for World Rugby and for the host nation France. The Rugby World Cup will see 46 matches played between 20 teams with most teams getting an average of 5 days to recover for their next game. The response from the fans has been great with the average stadium attendance falling just under 50,000 fans per game.

As of this writing, a total of 2,538 points have been scored with an average of 55.17 points per game. A total of 320 tries have been scored in the World Cup with an average of 7 tries per game.

The top scorer for the 2023 Rugby World Cup is France’s Thomas Ramos who scored 74 points and the leading try scorer is New Zealand’s Will Jordan with 8 tries – not counting the final!

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2023 Rugby World Cup – Upsets and Surprises

The 2023 Rugby World Cup commenced on 08 September and will conclude on 28 October. All of the games for the 2023 Rugby World Cup took place in France and were held across 9 venues.

A total of 20 teams took part in the 2023 Rugby World Cup with just a couple of surprises. This was the first time that Chile qualified for a Rugby World Cup and only the second time that Portugal made it to a Rugby World Cup.

Major Upsets

The biggest disappointment at the 2023 Rugby World Cup was the way Australia (Wallabies) approached and played in the tournament. One of the biggest upsets of the tournament came early on when Fiji took on the Wallabies in their second game in the group stage.

The Wallabies were the betting favourites and were expected to have a pretty easy game but Fiji put in a spectacular performance that ultimately led to them causing one of the biggest upsets as they beat Australia 22-15.

The second biggest upset of the tournament was one of the most iconic games of the 2023 Rugby World Cup. Defending champs South Africa took on Ireland who were ranked as the number one side in the world at the start of the World Cup. The Springboks were the favourites but the Irish put on a fantastic display of rugby to surprise the Springboks and win 13-8.

The third and probably the most disappointing upset of the tournament was for the hosts France. They beat the All Blacks in their first game of the World Cup and looked in great form. France made it to the quarter-finals and took on South Africa in what turned out to be a nail biter for rugby fans.

South Africa pulled of a brilliant win in the end as they won 29-28 as French fans were gutted to see their team come so close to making it to the semi-finals and then fall short!

Major Surprises

The Wallabies are one of the top teams in World Rugby but they made some strange selections for the World Cup, choosing to go with youth over experience and it cost them dearly. The Wallabies suffered multiple defeats in the group stage, suffering an embarrassing 40-6 loss to Wales and 22-15 loss to Fiji.

The Wallabies failed to make it out of the group stage which was one of the biggest surprises at the World Cup. Another huge surprise was the controversy surrounding Wallabies coach Eddie Jones as rumours surfaced that he had secretly interviewed with Japan for a head coach role which caused unrest amongst the Australian rugby team and their fans.

The only other surprise or controversy at the 2023 Rugby World Cup took place during the England vs. South Africa semi-final game. Springbok Bongi Mbonambi has been accused by England’s Tom Curry of allegedly using a racial slurWhite Cunt” against him . The two players refused to shake hands after the game and as of this writing, World Rugby has confirmed it will formally review the alleged incident.

2023 Rugby World Cup Final Team Analysis

* Odds have been provided by Betfred and are accurate as of 23/10/2023

When we say that the All Blacks and Springboks are two of the greatest rugby nations in the world, their World Cup stats back that up very well. The All Blacks have won 3 Rugby World Cup championships till date with their wins coming in the 1987, 2011, and 2015 tournaments.

The Springboks are tied with the All Blacks as they have also won 3 Rugby World Cup championships till date with their wins coming in the 1995, 2007, 2019 World Cups. Both teams will battle it out to create rugby history and become the first team to win 4 Rugby World Cup championships.

The All Blacks and Springboks have arguably the most intense rivalry in world rugby and the two teams get the perfect setting to showcase their skills at a World Cup final. The All Blacks usually tend to tower over other teams in terms of their experience, talent and speed but they will be well-matched as the Springboks have a fantastic squad that can compete with the All Blacks in every department.

The last time these two sides played was on 25 August, 2023 when the Springboks dominated the All Blacks and went on to win 35-7. The All Blacks did not play at full strength during that game and will not let that recent defeat have any bearing over their World Cup final game!

 

New Zealand

Odds to win: 8/9 (1.89)

The All Blacks were once the most dominant force in World Rugby and they showed that by winning back to back World Cups in 2011 and 2015. However, their results in the last couple of years have been below their gold standard which has left Kiwi fans disappointed.

A lot of criticism was directed against head coach Ian Foster and New Zealand Rugby decided before the World Cup that they would part ways with Foster once the tournament was done. When they lost their first game against France, once again a lot of criticism was directed towards Foster and All Blacks captain Sam Cane who did not play against France as he was out injured.

However, the All Blacks have bounced back after their first loss and have improved with every game showing an intensity that has not only impressed their fans but has also sent a message to the rest of the teams that the All Blacks are once again a force to be reckoned with.

The All Blacks will be playing at full strength and will be led by Sam Cane. While the squad for the World Cup finals is yet to be named, we expect the three Barrett brothers (Beauden, Scott and Jordie) along with their most experienced players such as Sam Whitelock, Brodie Retallick, Ardie Savea, Richie Mo’unga and Aaron Smith to be automatic picks.

The All Blacks are the betting favourites in the final and the key to them winning is going to be their game plan and the changes that Ian Foster brings to the table. The All Blacks lost their opening game to France because they made critical errors in the field, let their emotions get the best of them and committed errors that eventually cost them the game.

They will have to tighten up their game and ensure that they do not let the pressure of the World Cup final cause them to drift from the game plan. Foster will also need to make bold and key changes during the game including getting his starting line-up right. Some of the decisions that he needs to make include whether Leicester Fainga’anuku or Mark Telea will start and when Damian McKenzie will make an appearance.Will Jordan

Player to watch: Will Jordan

Will Jordan has been exceptional for the All Blacks and is the leading try scorer in the tournament. South Africa will look to keep Jordan quiet but that’s not going to be an easy feat.

If the All Blacks play with the intensity they displayed in the last few games, they are going to be hard to stop!

South Africa

Current Odds: 6/5 (2.20)

The defending champions will be very pleased to make it to the World Cup finals as they have had a hard road to the finals. The Springboks bounced back hard after suffering a 13-8 defeat to Ireland that lit a fire in their bellies. They just got over the line in their semi-final against England as Handre Pollard got them over the line in the last few minutes of the game by kicking under pressure and helping them win 16-15.

South Africa’s biggest challenge is going to be recovery as they have had two put it all on the line in the quarter-finals and semi-finals. This is probably one of the main reasons why the defending champions are the betting underdogs going into the final. The Springboks will have to raise their intensity yet against and come up with a great game plan in the final to counter the speed of Will Jordan, Beauden Barrett and Damian McKenzie.Handré Pollard

Player to watch: Handrè Pollard

Their kicking game is also going to have to be outstanding as it could very well come down to how well Handrè Pollard performs on the night! He made the difference at the last World Cup Final and will need to rise to the occasion once again against the All Blacks!

South Africa will also need their experienced players to be on top of their game as the Springboks rely heavily on Eben Etzebeth, Captain Siya Kolis and Faf de Klerk to set the intensity levels for the rest of the team.

Prediction

While on paper both the Springboks and All Blacks come across as equally matched, there are two factors that we need to consider carefully. The Springboks played in the second semi-final which means that they have 24 hours less to recover for the finals that the All-Blacks.

Given the length and intensity of the 2023 Rugby World Cup, those 24 hours of recovery could make a big difference in the end. The second factor to consider is that the All Blacks have had a relatively easier road to the finals than the Springboks. The All Blacks beat Ireland 28-24 in the quarter-finals and beat Argentina 44-6 in the semi-finals.

The Springboks had a very tough quarter-final against France which they won 29-28 and another tough semi-final against England which they won 16-15. These two games have taken a lot out of the Springboks both physically and mentally and that gives the All Blacks an edge.

We expect this to be a close game in the first half but we expect the All Blacks to start to pull away during the second half as we feel it’s going to be difficult for the Springboks to continue to maintain the same intensity through the game.

We are going to back the All Blacks who are the betting favourites to win and lift their 4th Rugby World Cup at the Stade France in Saint-Denis on Oct 28!

David Nugent Editor

First off, I want to say hi and wish a warm welcome to all gambling aficionados out there! My name is David Nugent and I am editor-in-chief of LegitGambling.com. I have always enjoyed various sports, primarily soccer, as I am a die-hard Everton fan.

Over time, I learned more about sports betting and discovered the fascinating online gambling industry. Eventually,...

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