{"id":8867,"date":"2019-01-14T20:00:22","date_gmt":"2019-01-14T20:00:22","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.legitgambling.com\/news\/?p=8867"},"modified":"2019-01-14T13:22:30","modified_gmt":"2019-01-14T13:22:30","slug":"nfl-american-football-conference-final-free-pick-new-england-patriots-at-kansas-city-chiefs-preview","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.legitgambling.com\/news\/nfl-american-football-conference-final-free-pick-new-england-patriots-at-kansas-city-chiefs-preview\/","title":{"rendered":"NFL AFC Final 2019: New England Patriots @ Chiefs Preview"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.legitgambling.com\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/01\/american-football-conference-championship.jpg\" alt=\"American Football Conference Championship\" width=\"300\" class=\"alignright size-full wp-image-8869\" \/>The #2 seed Patriots travel to take on the #1 seed Chiefs in Kansas City after both had dominant wins in the Divisional round. The <strong>Chiefs lead the all time series 18-15-3<\/strong>, but the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.legitgambling.com\/news\/nfls-sunday-night-football-betting-pick-kansas-city-chiefs-at-new-england-patriots-preview\/\">Patriots defeated the Chiefs <em>43-40<\/em> in October<\/a> of this season.<\/p>\n<p>The Patriots thoroughly handled the #5 seed Chargers on Sunday, winning <em>41-28<\/em> after their first round bye. In week 16, they beat the Bills <em>24-12<\/em> and in week 17 they beat the Jets <em>38-3<\/em>.<\/p>\n<p>The Chiefs shut down the #6 seed Colts on Saturday with a <em>31-13<\/em> win after their first round bye. In week 16, they lost <em>38-31<\/em> to the Seahawks, and in week 17 they beat the Raiders <em>35-3<\/em>.<\/p>\n<p>The Chiefs have <strong>opened as 3 point favourites<\/strong> at home with an <strong>O\/U total of 57.5<\/strong>, per <a href=\"https:\/\/www.legitgambling.com\/reviews\/bovada\">Bovada<\/a>.<\/p>\n<h2>New England Patriots<\/h2>\n<p><strong>(12-5 overall, 3-5 on the road)<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>The <a href=\"https:\/\/www.legitgambling.com\/news\/new-england-patriots-blow-away-los-angeles-chargers-to-make-afc-final-yet-again\/\">Patriots offense dominated Sunday<\/a> by using a multifaceted rushing attack combined with the nickel and diming of Tom Brady. Brady has had a quieter year, but has still been excellent, <em>throwing for 4698 yards, 30 TDs, and 11 INTs<\/em> while completing 65.8% of his passes and averaging 7.6 YPA. <strong>Julian Edelman<\/strong> (<em>83\/1001\/6<\/em>) and <strong>James White<\/strong> (<em>102\/848\/7<\/em>) have been awesome, while <strong>Rob Gronkowski<\/strong> (<em>48\/707\/3<\/em>), <strong>Chris Hogan<\/strong> (<em>38\/545\/3<\/em>), and <strong>Phillip Dorsett<\/strong> (<em>36\/331\/4<\/em>) have been reliable as well. On the ground, <strong>Sony Michel<\/strong> has been the lead guy, <em>carrying 233 times for 1060 yards and 9 TDs<\/em>. James White (<em>94\/425\/5<\/em>) and <strong>Rex Burkhead<\/strong> (<em>61\/198\/1<\/em>) are solid rotational pieces as well.<\/p>\n<p>The Patriots regular season scoring defense ranked 7th, allowing 20.3 PPG. Their passing defense ranked 22nd allowing 246.4 yards per game and 29 TDs while their pass rush ranked t-30th with 30 sacks. Their rushing defense ranked 11th, allowing 112.7 yards per game and 7 TDs on the ground. New England\u2019s defense forced 28 turnovers, and as a team they owned a +10 turnover differential.<\/p>\n<h3>Injuries and Inactive Watch<\/h3>\n<p><strong>Check tomorrow\u2019s news article<\/strong><\/p>\n<h2>Kansas City Chiefs<\/h2>\n<p><strong>(13-4 overall, 8-1 at home)<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>The <a href=\"https:\/\/indystar.com\/story\/sports\/columnists\/gregg-doyel\/2019\/01\/12\/colts-lousy-31-13-loss-chiefs-snowy-nfl-playoff-game\/2528822002\/\">Chiefs offense didn&#8217;t dominate on Saturday<\/a>, but they certainly didn&#8217;t have to as the Chiefs defense came to play. <strong>Pat Mahomes<\/strong> has been off the charts this season, <em>throwing for 5375 yards, 50 TDs and 12 INTs<\/em> while completing 66% of his passes and averaging 8.7 YPA. <strong>Travis Kelce<\/strong> has been dominant over the middle of the field, <em>catching 110 balls for 1444 yards and 10 TDs<\/em>, while <strong>Tyreek Hill<\/strong> has been a dynamic downfield threat, <em>catching 95 balls for 1551 yards and 12 TDs<\/em>. <strong>Sammy Watkins<\/strong> (<em>46\/581\/3<\/em>) is now back in the fold, and <strong>Damien Williams<\/strong> (<em>28\/185\/2<\/em>) and <strong>Demarcus Robinson<\/strong> (<em>22\/288\/4<\/em>) are threats as well. On the ground, Damien Williams has established himself as a legit starter in the league with <em>75 carries for 385 yards and 5 TDs<\/em>, mostly over these past few weeks.<\/p>\n<p>The Chiefs regular season scoring defense ranked 24th, allowing 26.3 PPG. Their passing defense ranked 31st, allowing 273.4 yards per game and 30 TDs through the air while their pass rush ranked t-1st with 52 sacks. Their rushing defense ranked 27th allowing 132.1 yards per game and 19 TDs on the ground. The Chiefs defense forced 27 turnovers, and as a team they owned a +9 turnover differential.<\/p>\n<h3>Injuries and Inactive Watch<\/h3>\n<p><strong>Check tomorrow\u2019s news article<\/strong><\/p>\n<h2>Predictions<\/h2>\n<p>Two dominant teams meet in the AFC Championship game and it should be fun. The high on Sunday in Kansas City as of now is 17 degrees, and that could play perfectly to the Patriots. Their new smashmouth style and experience in cold weather could keep the Chiefs on the sideline as the Pats stay ahead of the chains with their rotation of backs and quick passing attack. The Chiefs defense stepped up big time last week, but they\u2019re facing a completely different beast in the Patriots. The Chiefs pass rush poses an interesting threat, but the Pats offensive line should be up to the challenge.<\/p>\n<p>The Chiefs offense is unreal, and we know how quickly they can get up and down the field. However, the Patriots have the best coach in NFL history in Bill Belichick, and he isn\u2019t going to let Tyreek Hill and Travis Kelce dominate him again. Their run defense is sufficient enough to force the Chiefs into 3rd and long, and their contain style of pass rush will help to contain Mahomes in the pocket. Belichick\u2019s gameplanning, especially in the postseason, is going to be the difference maker here and he won\u2019t be denied another chance at a Super Bowl ring.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Final Pick:<\/strong> Patriots (+3)<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The #2 seed Patriots travel to take on the #1 seed Chiefs in Kansas City after both had dominant wins in the Divisional round. The Chiefs lead the all time series 18-15-3, but the Patriots defeated the Chiefs 43-40 in October of this season. The Patriots thoroughly handled the #5 seed Chargers on Sunday, winning [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[75,8,1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-8867","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-nfl","category-sports","category-usa"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v28.0 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>NFL AFC Final 2019: New England Patriots @ Kansas City Chiefs Preview<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Take a look at the pick and prediction for the AFC title game between the New England Patriots and the Kansas City Chiefs.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" 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